Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.856213 5.253537 5.692868 6.219803 6.841760 7.561972 8.473707
2025-02-09 4.369381 4.897336 5.522068 6.333536 7.388783 8.761748 10.776181
2025-02-16 3.975776 4.578547 5.330926 6.375644 7.858339 10.023673 13.775436
2025-02-23 3.630486 4.270115 5.103247 6.326768 8.204882 11.277266 17.702769
2025-03-02 3.274010 3.905115 4.751126 6.043402 8.145697 11.912757 21.291224
2025-03-09 3.034973 3.670435 4.547213 5.942192 8.359414 13.179295 28.442746
2025-03-16 2.783821 3.395645 4.255197 5.659107 8.196970 13.662190 34.944421
2025-03-23 2.647833 3.268898 4.164150 5.683440 8.612565 15.772029 58.979656
2025-03-30 2.507870 3.124276 4.030364 5.614793 8.834851 17.653823 114.084761
2025-04-06 2.366443 2.966755 3.861402 5.459811 8.838141 18.978310 280.451800
2025-04-13 2.220293 2.792874 3.652482 5.206251 8.562318 19.191463 856.876324
2025-04-20 2.159000 2.740823 3.632185 5.296843 9.126284 23.501346 NaN
2025-04-27 2.144832 2.767065 3.755388 5.716003 10.828096 40.189590 NaN
2025-05-04 2.088667 2.724649 3.760655 5.908381 12.095176 69.886795 NaN
2025-05-11 2.024204 2.664523 3.729569 6.021931 13.257941 152.722100 NaN
2025-05-18 1.951945 2.586886 3.659811 6.037574 14.135804 626.300551 NaN
2025-05-25 1.857011 2.466636 3.502253 5.820260 13.930443 3043.932753 NaN
2025-06-01 1.789288 2.387355 3.414119 5.758837 14.435746 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.705759 2.277628 3.261168 5.514885 13.937427 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.661617 2.231096 3.223579 5.556903 14.967583 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.610655 2.170324 3.153976 5.505333 15.494575 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.554265 2.097720 3.056574 5.366348 15.424980 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 1.491135 2.011243 2.927514 5.128040 14.617460 NaN NaN